Dollar slides after upbeat China data; Aussie, pound rise

The dollar fell against most major currencies on Tuesday after better-than-forecast growth data from China, while strong pay figures from Britain supported the pound.

China's gross domestic product (GDP) grew 4.5% year-on-year in the first three months of the year, data showed on Tuesday, beating analyst forecasts for a 4% expansion as the end of COVID-19 curbs lifted the world's second-largest economy.

Separate data on March activity also released on Tuesday showed retail sales growth quickened to 10.6%, beating expectations and hitting a near two-year high, while factory output growth also sped up but was just below expectations

"Normally on a day when you have good Chinese activity data you get a decent rally in commodity currencies, emerging market currencies and the dollar would soften and we are starting to see that," said Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING.

"Better Chinese data is normally seen as good news for the euro too, due to the large manufacturing sector," Turner added.

The euro was last up 0.5% versus the dollar at $1.0978 after two consecutive daily falls of over 0.5%.

The dollar index , which measures the currency against a basket of currencies, fell 0.4% to 101.67, having risen over 1% in the last two trading sessions.

Britain's pound jumped despite an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate in the three months to February as pay growth stayed higher than forecast, which could prompt the Bank of England to hike its interest rate again in May.

"Sterling has enjoyed a modest lift from today's data," ING's Turner said.

"Earnings figures have surprised on the upside. At the margin, that supports a 25 basis point hike in May from the Bank of England."

The pound was last up 0.5% against the dollar at $1.2438, ahead of inflation data on Wednesday.

In the U.S., data released on Monday showed confidence among single-family homebuilders improved for a fourth consecutive month in April, while manufacturing activity in New York state increased for the first time in five months.

Markets are pricing in around a 90% chance of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting in May, with traders still expecting rate cuts towards the end of the year.

"The dollar can remain sensitive to the strength, or not, of the economic data as the Fed likely nears the end of their tightening cycle," said Kristina Clifton, an economist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA).

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